Annual mean temperature — SSP3-7.0 2071-2100 (CHELSA)

Category: Physical risks · Mitigating services · Climate Chronic Risks · 2071-2100 Coverage: Global Format: Raster grid (~2 km) Used in risk analysis: No (contextual layer; not used in materiality scoring)

What it shows

This layer maps projected average annual air temperature for the late-century period 2071–2100 under a high-emissions future. It shows where the climate is expected to be warmer, and by how much, relative to the historical baseline. As a forward-looking view of chronic warming, it helps anticipate where temperature stress on ecosystems, agriculture and operations may intensify.

How it is built

The source is the CHELSA high-resolution climatology (version 2.1), one of its standard bioclimatic measures, here in its future-projection form. It describes mean annual temperature averaged over 2071–2100 under the SSP3-7.0 high-emissions scenario, downscaled from a single climate model (MPI-ESM1-2-HR) at roughly a 2 km grid. As a projection from one model under one scenario, it should be read as an indicative future, not a precise forecast.

How to read it

Values are projected temperatures: higher values mark warmer projected conditions. The layer is most informative when compared against the 1981–2010 baseline temperature layer to reveal the scale and pattern of expected warming at a site.

Source

CHELSA-CMIP6 version 2.1 (Karger et al.), open licence.

Comparison with the WWF Risk Filter Suite

There is no equivalent indicator in the WWF Risk Filter Suite. This is a forward-looking climate-scenario variant; the WWF Suite publishes present-day indicators rather than late-century bioclimatic projections, so it has no distinct WWF counterpart and is a Darwin extension of the chronic-climate theme.

Legend

Symbolised field: Annual mean temperature

Generated from darwin/layers/layer-chelsa-tmean_annual-ssp370.toml and risk_indicator_pairs.toml (develop).